JPY 2,744.00 for 5481.T Sanyo Special Steel (JPX) on 09 Jan 2026: oversold bounce setup
We see 5481.T stock trading at JPY 2,744.00 on the JPX after market close on 09 Jan 2026, positioning the name for an oversold bounce setup. The company, Sanyo Special Steel Co., Ltd. (JPX, Japan), reported a disappointing January 2025 quarter with EPS -5.38 versus an estimate of 45.90, and revenue JPY 78,615,000,000.00 versus estimate JPY 89,800,000,000.00, a clear short-term catalyst for investor selling. We outline the price snapshot, earnings drivers, valuation, technical indicators and a model-based forecast to help orient traders looking for a measured oversold bounce trade on 5481.T stock.
Price snapshot and setup for 5481.T stock
Sanyo Special Steel (5481.T) closed at JPY 2,744.00 on JPX with a day range JPY 2,742.00–2,752.00 and volume 62,800.00 shares, versus average volume 265,294.00. The stock sits essentially at its 50-day average JPY 2,743.70, while the 200-day average is JPY 2,125.85, showing recent momentum but also a compression that can fuel a short-term bounce on lighter flows.
Earnings and revenue drivers behind the move
The January 31, 2025 report showed EPS -5.38 against estimate 45.90, and revenue JPY 78,615,000,000.00 versus estimate JPY 89,800,000,000.00, which prompted the recent sell-off. Past quarters were mixed, with a July 30, 2024 EPS of 37.27 and revenue JPY 88,518,000,000.00, so swings in margins and demand from auto and industrial customers explain the earnings volatility and short-term oversold condition.
Fundamentals and valuation for 5481.T stock
On fundamentals, Sanyo Special Steel shows book value per share JPY 4,130.37 and price-to-book 0.67, while market cap is JPY 149,499,431,200.00 and reported PE near 37.59 in the quote set. Net margin is low at about 0.50%, ROE is roughly 0.55%, and inventory days are elevated at 198.50, indicating working capital pressure that offsets a deep tangible book and supports a value-style case if margins recover.
Technical picture and oversold bounce setup for 5481.T stock
Technically the stock shows a short-term negative MACD histogram but is trading at the Keltner channel middle (JPY 2,745.81), a classic place for a bounce if volume picks up. Relative volume is low at 0.24, so we want to see higher buying flow to confirm a sustained bounce; support near the day low JPY 2,742.00 and stronger support at the year low JPY 1,615.00 remain key risk levels.
Meyka AI rates 5481.T with a score out of 100 and forecast
Meyka AI rates 5481.T with a score out of 100: 67.34 (Grade B, Suggestion HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparison, financial growth, key metrics and analyst signals. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 1-year price of JPY 3,025.45, implying a +10.26% upside from JPY 2,744.00; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Risks and near-term catalysts for 5481.T stock
Key risks include continuing earnings misses, high inventory days (198.50), modest interest coverage (3.16) and sector cyclicality in steel and auto suppliers, while catalysts are order upticks for bearings and tooling, lower raw-material costs, and the next earnings date (announced earnings 2025-04-28) which could reset estimates and volatility.
Final Thoughts
Short-term traders can treat 5481.T stock as an oversold bounce candidate while longer-term investors should weigh fundamentals against cyclic risk. At JPY 2,744.00 the name sits on its 50-day average and near the Keltner channel midline, making a measured bounce plausible if volume rises. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 3,025.45, an implied upside of +10.26%, with a conservative near-term target of JPY 2,900.00 (+5.69%) and a 3-year scenario target JPY 3,535.80 (+28.86%). Remember the company posted an EPS miss (-5.38) and revenue shortfall for the January quarter, raising execution risk. We present this as market analysis only; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. For quick reference see the company site and JPX listing and consult multiple sources before trading; Meyka AI provided the AI-powered market analysis and grade.
FAQs
Is 5481.T stock a buy after the earnings miss?
After the EPS miss (EPS -5.38) the stock looks like a tactical oversold bounce candidate but not a clear buy for all investors. Watch volume and confirmation above JPY 2,900.00 before adding; remain aware of cyclic exposure and working-capital risks.
What is Meyka AI’s price forecast for 5481.T stock?
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 3,025.45 for 5481.T stock in one year, an implied +10.26% from JPY 2,744.00. Forecasts are model outputs and not guarantees; use them with other analysis and risk controls.
Which risks matter most for 5481.T stock now?
Primary risks are further earnings misses, elevated inventory days (198.50), and weak demand from auto customers. Interest coverage (3.16) and low margins increase sensitivity to raw-material swings and cyclical downturns for 5481.T stock.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
