KMGMILK.BO KMG Milk Food BSE at INR 48.48 14 Jan 2026: Oversold bounce
KMGMILK.BO stock closed at INR 48.48 on 14 Jan 2026, up 2.93% as a low-volume bounce tested short-term resistance. The session is market closed and volume was 100 shares versus an average of 76, leaving liquidity thin. We view today’s move as an oversold bounce candidate rather than a trend reversal. This note gives a compact trade plan, valuation snapshot, and model forecasts for KMG Milk Food Ltd. on the BSE in India.
KMGMILK.BO stock: Market close snapshot
KMG Milk Food Ltd. (KMGMILK.BO) on the BSE closed at INR 48.48, up INR 1.38 or 2.93%. Volume was 100 shares versus an average volume of 76, producing a relative volume of 2.63. The stock’s day range was fixed at INR 48.48, reflecting a single-price close and very tight intra-day trading.
Why an oversold bounce matters
An oversold bounce is a short-term recovery after heavy selling, suitable for tactical entries. KMGMILK.BO stock shows quick gains after prolonged weakness, making a measured long trade logical for nimble traders. Low liquidity increases execution risk and slippage on both entry and exit. Use size limits and defined stops when trading the bounce.
Fundamentals and valuation
KMG Milk Food reports EPS -0.11 and a session PE shown as -436.36, underlining recent losses at the per-share level. Revenue per share is INR 14.33 and price-to-sales is 3.35, indicating the market pays modest revenue multiples.
The balance sheet shows a current ratio 12.44 and debt-to-assets 0.64, which points to liquidity but also significant leverage on assets. Return on equity is -22.68%, reflecting profitability pressure.
Technicals and trade triggers
The 50-day average is INR 47.20 and the 200-day average is INR 37.63, which supports the case for a mean-reversion bounce. Year high and low are INR 50.49 and INR 29.51 respectively, giving clear resistance and support reference points.
Tactical entry: consider a scaled buy on a pullback near INR 46.00 or a breakout above INR 50.50. Set a strict stop-loss at INR 44.00 and initial profit target at INR 50.49. A secondary target for momentum traders is INR 55.00.
Meyka AI grade and forecast
Meyka AI rates KMGMILK.BO with a score out of 100: 62.48 | Grade: B | Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of INR 40.69, implying a -16.07% move versus today’s INR 48.48. The model projects INR 51.75 in three years, implying +6.75% from today. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Risks and sector context
KMGMILK.BO operates in Consumer Defensive, where peers trade higher P/B multiples. The sector’s average P/E is near 35.73, above KMGMILK’s mixed metrics.
Key risks include receivables turnaround: days sales outstanding is 256.85 days, which raises working capital pressure. Low trading volume and high inventory days mean liquidity and execution risk remain material.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways: KMGMILK.BO stock closed at INR 48.48 on the BSE on 14 Jan 2026 in a low-volume session that fits an oversold bounce setup. Fundamentals are mixed: EPS -0.11, ROE -22.68%, and price-to-sales 3.35. Technicals favor a short-term mean reversion with the 50-day average at INR 47.20 and resistance at INR 50.49. Meyka AI’s model projects INR 51.75 in three years, implying +6.75% from today, while the one-year model prints INR 40.69, implying -16.07%. For tactical traders we suggest controlled position sizing, a stop at INR 44.00, and a near-term target at INR 50.49. These are trade ideas, not investment advice. Meyka AI provides this as an AI-powered market analysis platform and the forecasts and grades are model outputs, not guarantees.
FAQs
Is KMGMILK.BO stock a buy after the oversold bounce?
KMGMILK.BO stock shows a tactical bounce but low liquidity and mixed fundamentals counsel caution. Consider a small position with a stop at INR 44.00 and a target near INR 50.49.
What are realistic price targets for KMGMILK.BO?
Near-term resistance sits at INR 50.49 and a momentum target at INR 55.00. Meyka AI’s three-year model projects INR 51.75. Forecasts are model-based, not guarantees.
How does Meyka AI rate KMGMILK.BO?
Meyka AI rates KMGMILK.BO 62.48 out of 100, Grade B, suggestion HOLD. This factors in benchmarks, sector, growth, key metrics, and analyst signals.
What are the main risks for KMGMILK.BO stock traders?
Main risks are low trading volume, long receivables (256.85 days), leverage on assets, and negative ROE. Use strict risk limits when trading the bounce.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
