META Stock Today: January 30 Rallies as Wall Street Backs $135B AI Capex
The meta share price surged about 10% on January 30 after a Q4 beat and bold AI capex guidance of US$115–US$135 billion for 2026. Wall Street signaled confidence that larger models and data centers can lift long‑term cash flows despite near‑term spend. For Singapore investors, this move highlights how US mega‑cap tech can drive portfolio returns. We review Meta earnings, valuation, technicals, and the key risks that could steer price action in coming weeks.
Why the rally matters for Singapore investors
Meta said it would invest US$115–US$135 billion in 2026 to scale AI training and data centers. The meta share price jumped about 10% after a Q4 beat, as investors favored growth over spend. Coverage confirmed the Street’s support for bigger AI bets source and management’s runway to keep investing source.
We see three angles. First, the meta share price can add beta to US‑heavy allocations common among Singapore investors. Second, FX matters: a stronger USD lifts Singapore‑dollar returns but adds volatility. Third, access is easy via SG brokers offering US markets, though US dividend withholding is 30%. Position sizes should reflect higher AI‑cycle uncertainty and earnings season gaps.
Valuation, cash flow, and balance sheet snapshot
Meta earnings remain strong. Trailing EPS is 22.61 and the P/E is 28.89, with net profit margin at 30.89% and ROE at 30.93%. Dividend yield stands near 0.31%. The meta share price implies a price‑to‑sales around 8.94. These metrics suggest quality at a premium multiple, supported by stable ad demand and growing AI monetization optionality.
AI capex guidance is heavy, but the balance sheet looks sound. Debt‑to‑equity is 0.263 and interest coverage is 85.40, with a current ratio of 1.98. Free cash flow yield is 2.65% and capex equals about 33% of revenue. If execution stays on track, the meta share price can absorb higher spend, though any delay could compress the multiple.
Trading view: trend, levels, and risk
Signals are mixed after the META stock rally. RSI is 49.15, MACD histogram is -1.41, and ADX at 28.20 indicates a strong trend. Stochastic sits at 30.17 and MFI at 34.91. This setup says momentum is pausing near neutral. If buyers return, the meta share price could retest recent highs; weak breadth risks a pullback.
Bollinger bands sit near 642.73–670.68 with a 656.71 midpoint. Keltner channels center near 654.76. The 50‑day average is 641.85 and the 200‑day is 678.90. ATR of 15.26 frames average daily swings. Year high is 796.25 and year low is 479.80. We’d watch 678–680 as resistance and 642–656 as support for the meta share price.
2026 outlook: AI scale versus margins
Management targets US$115–US$135 billion of 2026 AI capex. 2024 revenue grew about 21.94%, supporting reinvestment capacity. Model forecasts point to US$680.73 (monthly), US$714.21 (quarterly), and US$707.99 (yearly). These are estimates, not promises. If AI products lift engagement and advertiser ROI, the meta share price could extend gains on operating leverage.
Key risks: regulation, privacy rules, and content scrutiny; ad‑cycle slowdowns; and heavy Reality Labs investment. R&D intensity is high at 27.67% of revenue, which helps moat building but pressures margins if payoffs lag. We also watch capex execution, supply chain for chips, and competition in foundation models that could affect the meta share price.
Final Thoughts
Here is our take for Singapore investors. Meta’s AI roadmap is bolder, yet the balance sheet and margins can support it. Technicals are neutral, with resistance near the 200‑day and support around the 50‑day averages. Consider scaling entries instead of chasing gaps, and size positions for higher volatility. Watch the next updates after the January 28 earnings release (January 29, 5:00 a.m. SGT). Track FX exposure, ad demand trends, and any policy headlines. If execution stays on time and on budget, the meta share price has room to re‑rate on AI monetization progress. Manage risk with ATR‑based stops and keep a long‑term horizon.
FAQs
Why did the meta share price rally on January 30?
Shares jumped about 10% after a Q4 beat and management’s AI capex plan of US$115–US$135 billion for 2026. Investors backed the view that larger models and data centers can grow cash flows over time, even if near‑term spending rises. Strong ad performance helped confidence.
Is Meta’s AI capex guidance a risk to margins?
It can be. Capex near the guided range pressures free cash flow in the short run. That said, Meta has a 30.89% net margin, strong interest coverage, and a 1.98 current ratio. If AI products raise engagement and advertiser ROI, margin pressure may ease as revenue scales.
How can Singapore investors get exposure to Meta?
Most SG brokers offer access to US markets, where Meta trades on Nasdaq. Consider FX effects when funding in SGD, and note the 30% US dividend withholding for non‑treaty investors. Staggered buys can manage volatility. Review brokerage costs, custody terms, and corporate action handling.
What technical levels are important right now?
Near term, watch the 200‑day average around 678–680 as resistance and the 50‑day near 642 as support. Bollinger mid at 656.71 is a momentum pivot. ATR of 15.26 frames daily risk. A close above the 200‑day could invite momentum flows; a break below 642 weakens the setup.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
