MQG.AX Stock Today: February 01 AirFinance Sale Puts Mix in Focus
Macquarie Group share price is steady near A$212 as a competitive Macquarie AirFinance sale moves forward. First take for MQG.AX: watch the sale price versus book value and how any cash is redeployed. With shares at A$212.18 and Street targets around A$227, today’s setup implies roughly 7% upside if execution lands. We break down the implications for mix, valuation, and near‑term levels Australian investors should track.
AirFinance process: what matters for earnings mix
If the Macquarie AirFinance sale clears above carrying value, Macquarie can book a gain and improve capital, supportive for the Macquarie Group share price. A discount would weigh on earnings. Group context helps: price to book sits near 2.25x and ROE is about 10.6%. The key tell will be the achieved multiple on the aircraft leasing portfolio relative to peers and prior cycles source.
How proceeds are used will shape returns. Reinvestment into fee-light, scalable areas like MAM could lift margins, while buybacks can be accretive if MQG.AX trades below intrinsic value. Dividends already reflect a 3.16% yield with a 60.6% payout ratio. Management could also bolster capital for CGM opportunities or preserve flexibility ahead of macro shifts.
Reports indicate a competitive process, which can support pricing but may take time to conclude. We expect staged updates rather than a single catalyst, so the Macquarie Group share price may react in steps. Investors should watch for any indicative bids, due‑diligence milestones, and guidance on mix changes as aviation exposure potentially reduces source.
Today’s price action and technical picture
The Macquarie Group share price trades at A$212.18, within a day range of A$211.63 to A$215. The 50‑day average is A$203.04, while the 200‑day sits at A$212.78. Price is above the Bollinger upper band at A$209.67, a short‑term overextension signal, with ATR at 3.32 showing moderate volatility. Year high is A$242.90 and year low is A$160.00.
RSI at 57.25 is neutral to firm and MACD is positive, with a 0.81 histogram. CCI reads 120.79, a near‑term overbought sign, and Stoch %K at 83.66 corroborates. ADX at 17.37 indicates no strong trend. For the Macquarie Group share price, that mix often precedes range trading while the market waits for fundamental news.
A close back above the 200‑day average at A$212.78 would be a constructive sign for MQG.AX. Failure there puts focus on A$209 to A$203, near Keltner and 50‑day centers. If momentum persists, resistance sits at A$215, then A$220, with A$227 the near‑term target in focus. We would reassess if the Macquarie Group share price falls below A$203.
Valuation check and target context
At A$212.18, P/E is 19.32 on EPS of A$10.98, price to book is 2.25x, and dividend yield is about 3.16%. Earnings yield is roughly 4.76%. These metrics are consistent with a high‑quality diversified financial. The Macquarie Group share price tends to reflect optionality from CGM and MAM, which can boost returns during active markets but softens when activity slows.
Street targets near A$227 imply about 7% upside from today’s level for the Macquarie Group share price. Medium‑term modeling points to A$229 over a year and A$281 in three years, noting wide uncertainty bands. Those paths assume stable ROE and modest multiple stability. Delivery on the Macquarie AirFinance sale would help bridge the gap if pricing is favourable.
Macquarie is scheduled to report on 6 May 2026. We will watch for sale progress, capital deployment plans, and BFS margin commentary. Term deposit rates in Australia have been lifting ahead of RBA meetings, which can shape funding costs and customer mix, relevant for profitability and the Macquarie Group share price source.
Risks and positioning for Australian investors
Macquarie’s diversified engine is a strength, yet parts of CGM and capital markets earnings are cyclical. If the Macquarie AirFinance sale closes below book or market activity slows, the Macquarie Group share price could lag. Balanced exposure to MAM fee streams and BFS deposits can cushion volatility. We prefer staggered entries tied to clear catalysts.
Reported debt to equity is 4.94 and interest coverage is 0.28, typical for a bank‑like balance sheet but worth monitoring. Capital buffers, liquidity, and asset quality updates will matter this year. For MQG.AX, funding costs are sensitive to RBA settings and term deposit competition, which can nudge margins and, in turn, the Macquarie Group share price.
Position size with respect to volatility, as ATR sits near A$3.32. Consider adding on pullbacks toward A$203 to A$209 if the 200‑day is reclaimed, with partial profit targets near A$227. Keep a catalyst calendar into May’s update. This disciplined approach helps manage risk while staying aligned with the Macquarie Group valuation backdrop.
Final Thoughts
The Macquarie Group share price sits near A$212 as a potential Macquarie AirFinance exit reshapes earnings mix. The two swing variables are sale price versus book value and how proceeds are deployed. Technically, price hovers around the 200‑day average with momentum positive but trend light, pointing to range trading unless a sale update lands. Valuation implies modest upside to A$227 if execution is clean. We would track bid milestones, deposit pricing trends, and May’s results, then scale positions on pullbacks or a firm close above the 200‑day average.
FAQs
Why does the Macquarie AirFinance sale matter for MQG investors?
It can change earnings mix and capital flexibility. A sale above book value could add a gain and free cash for reinvestment or buybacks. A discount would weigh on profit and the Macquarie Group share price. The bigger impact is where proceeds go next, since shifting toward scalable fees or buybacks could lift returns without adding balance sheet risk.
What key levels should I watch on MQG.AX this week?
Spot price is around A$212.18. We are watching the 200‑day average at A$212.78, the 50‑day at A$203.04, support near A$209 to A$203, and resistance at A$215 then A$220. The near‑term target in focus is A$227. If the Macquarie Group share price holds above the 200‑day, momentum tends to improve.
How does valuation stack up at today’s price?
At A$212.18, P/E is 19.32 on EPS of A$10.98, price to book is about 2.25x, and dividend yield is roughly 3.16%. That aligns with a high‑quality diversified financial. Upside to A$227 is about 7% if catalysts land. The Macquarie Group share price can rerate higher if profits rise and capital returns grow after the Macquarie AirFinance sale.
What could move the Macquarie Group share price before results?
Any update on the Macquarie AirFinance sale, deposit pricing shifts around RBA decisions, and trading conditions in CGM can move the stock. Technicals also matter near term. A daily close above the 200‑day average would be supportive, while a drop below A$203 could invite more caution until new fundamental news changes the setup.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
