What triggered today’s move in MSFT stock?

Shares fell after Brazil’s CADE opened an antitrust probe into Microsoft’s software and Azure licensing for potential abuse of market power. The news increased regulatory risk and pressured sentiment, sending the stock toward the lower Bollinger Band. Traders focused on support near $470 and the 200-day average around $478.

How could the Brazil antitrust probe affect Azure?

If regulators seek remedies, Microsoft may adjust licensing terms, bundling, or interoperability. That could reduce pricing power but broaden adoption. The impact on margins would depend on volume offsets from cloud growth and security add-ons. Investors should listen for contract and pricing commentary on the upcoming earnings call.

Is MSFT stock expensive after the dip?

At $472.94, Microsoft trades near a P/E of 33.6. The premium reflects durable margins, strong free cash flow, and growth tied to Azure and AI. Valuation is not cheap versus the market, but Street targets cluster above current levels, with a $630 median and $614.57 consensus.

What key levels and dates should investors watch?

Watch $470 as near-term support, $478 at the 200-day average, and $496 at the 50-day average. A close above $485 would help rebuild momentum. The next earnings date is January 28, where updates on Azure growth, licensing, and AI adoption could reset expectations and volatility.

Global Market Insights

MSFT Stock Today: January 02 – Brazil Opens Antitrust Probe, Shares Dip

ByHuzaifa Zahoor January 3, 2026January 3, 2026

MSFT stock slipped today after Brazil’s CADE opened an antitrust probe into Microsoft’s software and Azure licensing. Shares of MSFT finished at $472.94, down 2.21%, with a session range of $470.16 to $484.66. The Brazil antitrust probe centers on potential abuse of market power and could affect cloud licensing and pricing. We break down the Azure cloud investigation, today’s Microsoft stock price action, the technical setup, and what U.S. investors should watch before the next earnings update later this month.