Pre-market 7794.T EDP Corporation down 13.19% to JPY 658.00: earnings in focus

Pre-market 7794.T EDP Corporation down 13.19% to JPY 658.00: earnings in focus

The 7794.T stock opened pre-market at JPY 658.00, down -13.19% from yesterday’s close of JPY 758.00 on the JPX in Japan. Volume is elevated at 82,900 shares versus an average of 210,489, flagging outsized selling pressure ahead of an earnings report scheduled for 12 Feb 2026. Traders are pricing renewed earnings risk after a recent string of mixed results and a deeply negative EPS. We review price drivers, valuation, technicals, and our model forecast to explain why EDP Corporation is a top pre-market loser.

Market snapshot for 7794.T stock

EDP Corporation (7794.T) trades on the JPX and is down to JPY 658.00 in pre-market trade, a -13.19% move versus the previous close. Intraday range is currently JPY 658.00 (low) to JPY 658.00 (high) with a market capitalisation near JPY 9,599,164,740.00. The share count is 14,544,189.00 and relative volume shows a spike as traders react to guidance risk ahead of earnings.

Catalyst and earnings risk driving 7794.T stock moves

The immediate catalyst is an upcoming earnings announcement on 2026-02-12, and the stock’s last reported EPS is -162.52, producing a negative PE of -4.06. Market participants are adjusting positions because net income trends show deterioration; net income per share last twelve months is -154.89. This combination of a large negative EPS and thin liquidity amplified the pre-market decline.

Valuation and financial metrics for 7794.T stock

EDP’s price-to-book sits at 3.63, while price-to-sales is 18.24, both high relative to Consumer Cyclical peers. The company reports a strong current ratio of 6.33, and cash per share of 51.67, supporting short-term liquidity. However, margins are negative and return on equity is -63.38%, signalling profitability stress despite solid working capital.

Technical picture and trading signals for 7794.T stock

Short-term momentum shows RSI at 56.55, with MACD histogram positive at 7.01, suggesting a short-term bounce is possible. The 50-day average is JPY 437.40 and the 200-day average is JPY 531.92, both below the current price, but volatility is high with ATR 17.32. Low average liquidity (avg volume 210,489.00) means price gaps can widen in pre-market moves.

Meyka AI grade and forecast for 7794.T stock

Meyka AI rates 7794.T with a score of 57.78 out of 100 (Grade C+, Suggestion: HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly price of JPY 495.84, implying -24.66% versus the current JPY 658.00, and a quarterly projection of JPY 297.80 (implied -54.76%). These forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

Risks, sector context and near-term outlook for 7794.T stock

EDP sits in Consumer Cyclical, Luxury Goods—sectors with average ROE near 10.37%, where EDP’s ROE is substantially negative. Key risks include continued negative margins, inventory turnover at 0.75, and earnings volatility. Catalysts that could stabilise price include clearer guidance on semiconductor substrate demand and improved margin data in the 12 Feb report.

Final Thoughts

7794.T stock is a top pre-market loser after a sharp -13.19% drop to JPY 658.00, driven by elevated volume and near-term earnings risk ahead of the 12 Feb report. Valuation metrics show a stretched price-to-sales of 18.24 and price-to-book of 3.63, while profitability remains weak with EPS -162.52 and ROE -63.38%. Meyka AI’s model projects JPY 495.84 for the month, an implied downside of -24.66% versus today’s price. For traders, the combination of weak fundamentals and low liquidity increases volatility risk; for longer-term investors, the company’s strong current ratio (6.33) and cash per share (51.67) offer some balance against downside. Our view: watch the 12 Feb earnings closely—beat-and-guide could trigger a technical recovery, while another miss may push price toward the model quarterly projection of JPY 297.80, near a -54.76% implied move. These forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Meyka AI provides this as an AI-powered market analysis platform note, not financial advice.

FAQs

Why is 7794.T stock falling pre-market?

7794.T stock fell pre-market on elevated volume and investor concern ahead of the 12 Feb 2026 earnings report, combined with a large negative EPS (-162.52) and weak margins that increase short-term downside risk.

What is Meyka AI’s forecast for 7794.T stock?

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a monthly price of JPY 495.84 for 7794.T stock, implying -24.66% from the current JPY 658.00. Forecasts are model-based and are not guarantees.

Is 7794.T stock undervalued relative to peers?

No. 7794.T shows high price-to-sales (18.24) and price-to-book (3.63) versus Consumer Cyclical peers, while ROE and margins are negative, suggesting valuation is stretched absent a profit recovery.

What are key near-term catalysts for 7794.T stock?

Key catalysts are the 12 Feb 2026 earnings release and any guidance on semiconductor substrate demand or margin improvements. Positive guidance could reduce selling pressure; weak news could widen losses.

Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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