Pre-market: 9161.T stock at JPY 6480.00 on JPX signals oversold bounce opportunity: watch volume for confirmation
9161.T stock trades at JPY 6480.00 in pre-market on the JPX with volume 40,100 and relative volume 3.16, suggesting an early oversold bounce set-up. Price sits at the 50-day average JPY 6,477.60 and near the year high JPY 6,500.00, so buyers may step in if volume holds. We lay out technical triggers, valuation context, and a clear trading plan for a measured bounce trade on Japan-listed Integrated Design & Engineering Holdings.
Pre-market snapshot for 9161.T stock
Price is JPY 6,480.00 on JPX, unchanged from the previous close. Volume is 40,100, above the 3-month average of 12,704, giving a relative volume of 3.16. Day range is JPY 6,480.00–6,490.00, year range JPY 3,075.00–6,500.00. This early liquidity matters for an oversold bounce strategy because higher volume increases the chance of a sustained move.
Technical set-up and triggers for 9161.T stock
The share price sits effectively on the 50-day average JPY 6,477.60 and above the 200-day average JPY 5,410.30, which supports a bounce thesis. A confirmed bounce requires an hourly close above JPY 6,520.00 with expanding volume.
Failure to hold the 50-day average would invalidate the short-term bounce and risk a slide toward the next structural support near JPY 4,800.00. Use a tight stop if entering an intraday reversal play.
Fundamentals and valuation of 9161.T stock
Integrated Design & Engineering (9161.T) shows mixed fundamentals. Price-to-book is 1.13, price-to-sales is 1.36, and debt-to-equity is 0.92, which are moderate for Industrials in Japan.
Profitability is weak: ROE is -1.38% and net income per share TTM is -78.05, while cash per share is 1,336.45 JPY. Operating cash flow per share is negative -1,652.44 JPY, so liquidity and cash-flow recovery are key risks.
Meyka grade and forecast for 9161.T stock
Meyka AI rates 9161.T with a score out of 100: 68.13, Grade B, Suggestion HOLD. This grade factors S&P 500 and sector comparisons, financial growth, key metrics, forecasts, and analyst signal.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 8,325.97 in one year and JPY 11,146.42 in three years. Versus the current JPY 6,480.00, the one-year implied upside is +28.49% and the three-year implied upside is +72.00%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Catalysts, risks and a trade plan for 9161.T stock
Near-term catalysts include an earnings announcement on 2025-02-14 and continued infrastructure and renewable-energy contracts in Japan and overseas. The Industrials sector YTD performance is +3.17%, offering a constructive backdrop.
Key risks: negative free cash flow per share -1,706.64 JPY, low interest coverage 1.04, and a high net-debt-to-EBITDA of 14.27. For an oversold bounce trade, consider a partial long at JPY 6,480.00–6,520.00, a stop loss near JPY 6,000.00, and initial targets at JPY 7,500.00 and JPY 8,300.00.
Market context and sector comparison for 9161.T stock
9161.T operates in Engineering & Construction within the Industrials sector, which shows a 1-year performance of +36.62% for Japan. Peer valuations run higher on average P/E ~18.03 and stronger ROE.
That relative valuation gap explains why the stock trades at a modest PB and offers upside on recovery, but sector strength also raises competition for new contracts and margins.
Final Thoughts
Short-term, 9161.T stock shows a classic oversold bounce setup: price at the 50-day average, high relative volume 3.16, and a clear catalyst in the upcoming earnings on 2025-02-14. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects JPY 8,325.97 in one year, implying +28.49% upside from JPY 6,480.00, while a three-year view rises to JPY 11,146.42 or +72.00%. Our risk-aware trade plan is to use a tight stop near JPY 6,000.00, scale in on volume confirmation, and lock partial gains at JPY 7,500.00. Keep position sizes small until the company shows cash-flow recovery; negative free cash flow per share -1,706.64 JPY and low interest coverage 1.04 increase downside risk. This view blends short-term technical triggers with medium-term model forecasts and sector context. Meyka AI is the AI-powered market analysis platform used for these model outputs. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
FAQs
Is 9161.T stock a buy after the pre-market bounce?
9161.T stock shows a viable bounce but not a clear buy yet. Confirm volume above 40,000 and an hourly close above JPY 6,520.00. Keep a stop near JPY 6,000.00 and limit position size given negative free cash flow.
What are the biggest risks for 9161.T stock?
Main risks for 9161.T stock are negative operating cash flow per share -1,652.44 JPY, low interest coverage 1.04, and a high net-debt-to-EBITDA 14.27. Earnings misses or contract delays would amplify downside.
What price targets exist for 9161.T stock?
Meyka AI’s near-term targets for 9161.T stock are JPY 7,500.00 (initial) and JPY 8,325.97 (one-year model). The three-year model target is JPY 11,146.42. These are model projections, not guarantees.
How should traders use the oversold bounce strategy on 9161.T stock?
For 9161.T stock, enter on volume-confirmed reversal above JPY 6,520.00, set a stop near JPY 6,000.00, take partial profits at JPY 7,500.00, and reassess fundamentals after earnings. Size positions small due to cash-flow risk.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
