What is moving robusta coffee futures today?

Weather and policy are in focus. Indonesia coffee floods are slowing near-term exports, while an EU deforestation law delay eases immediate compliance pressure. Brazil heat wave coffee risk adds a weather premium. Together, these factors support prompt demand and keep dips shallow unless Vietnam shipments scale up quickly in Q1.

How does the EU deforestation law delay affect prices?

The delay reduces immediate compliance buying and paperwork pressure, which can ease stress on differentials. It does not remove sustainability checks. Combined with weather risks, it keeps sentiment supported but may smooth near-term logistics. The market will re-price again when timelines and guidance become clearer for importers and roasters.

What should UK roasters consider right now?

Stagger cover across months, align FX hedges with purchase windows, and lock in shipping where possible. Monitor Indonesian loadings, Vietnam flow updates, and London calendar spreads for tightness signals. Secure quality and shipment timing, not just price. A laddered approach can protect margins if prices firm on fresh weather or policy headlines.

Is robusta likely to outperform arabica near term?

Near term, robusta has support from Indonesian disruptions and steady demand, while arabica looks more balanced. If Vietnam supply ramps and stocks rebuild, the edge could fade. Watch relative spreads, certified inventories, and differentials. The picture can change quickly if weather normalises or if policy timelines shift again.

Global Market Insights

Robusta Today, December 27: Indonesia Floods, EU Rule Delay Support

ByHuzaifa Zahoor December 27, 2025December 27, 2025

Robusta coffee futures are firm today as Indonesia coffee floods disrupt near-term exports and the EU deforestation law delay removes an immediate compliance squeeze. Brazil heat wave coffee risk adds another layer, keeping weather premium in the market. For UK traders and roasters, the key question is whether tight inventories can offset a likely pickup in Vietnam shipments into early 2026. We see near-term support for robusta coffee futures while arabica lags on relative supply comfort.