Shin-Etsu (4063.T, JPX) down 11.16% pre-market 29 Jan 2026: watch JPY 4,600 support

The 4063.T stock fell 11.16% pre-market to JPY 4,865.00 on 29 Jan 2026 on the JPX, making Shin-Etsu Chemical Co., Ltd. the session’s most active name in Japan. Trade volume ran at 29,925,500.00 shares versus an average of 6,268,422.00, signaling outsized selling pressure. The move pushed the price below the 50-day average of JPY 4,966.74 while the 200-day average sits at JPY 4,667.17, creating a key short-term inflection point. This briefing looks at drivers, valuation, technical levels, Meyka AI grade and a short-term forecast for readers tracking 4063.T stock.

4063.T stock market snapshot and price action

Shin-Etsu Chemical (4063.T) opened pre-market at JPY 4,978.00 and was trading at JPY 4,865.00, down JPY 611.00 or 11.16%. The session high and low were JPY 5,055.00 and JPY 4,852.00 respectively, with year range JPY 3,425.00 to JPY 5,798.00.

Volume surged to 29,925,500.00 shares, a relative volume of 4.77, making the stock the most active on the JPX in early trade. Market cap stands near JPY 9,115,159,894,015.00 giving investors a large-cap exposure within Japan’s Basic Materials sector.

4063.T stock: immediate drivers and news links

Market reports flagged Shin-Etsu as one of the biggest losers on the Tokyo board, which contributed to the heavy sell-off in pre-market trade. Traders cited broad Tokyo weakness even as the Nikkei closed higher, with Shin-Etsu singled out for steep losses source.

The stock’s drop appears driven by position adjustments and profit taking after recent gains rather than a company-specific earnings revision; see related Tokyo market coverage for context source.

4063.T stock fundamentals and valuation

Shin-Etsu’s trailing EPS is JPY 257.92 with a P/E of 18.86, slightly above the Basic Materials sector average P/E of 17.26. Key ratios include price-to-book 2.16, dividend per share JPY 106.00, and dividend yield roughly 2.18% based on the prior close.

Balance-sheet metrics are robust: cash per share stands at JPY 824.28 and debt-to-equity is low at 0.06, supporting a strong current ratio of 5.90. Investors should weigh the higher P/E against steady cash flow and recurring demand in electronics and silicones segments.

4063.T stock technical levels and indicators

Technically, the stock sits below the 50-day average (JPY 4,966.74) and above the 200-day average (JPY 4,667.17). RSI at 60.42 and MACD histogram positive suggest momentum was positive before the sell-off, but the sharp volume spike increases downside risk.

Short-term supports: JPY 4,600.00 (near current lower Bollinger band) and JPY 4,400.00; resistances: JPY 5,050.00 (intraday high) and JPY 5,798.00 (year high). Traders should watch volume-confirmed breaks of these levels for follow-through.

4063.T stock: Meyka AI grade, analyst signals and price forecasts

Meyka AI rates 4063.T with a score out of 100 and assigns a score of 75.34 / Grade B+ — Suggestion: BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. The company rating data dated 2026-01-28 also lists an overall external rating of A- with a Buy recommendation.

Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of JPY 5,740.80, a monthly figure of JPY 4,941.47, and a three-year projection of JPY 6,494.45. Against the current price of JPY 4,865.00, the yearly forecast implies an upside of 18.01%, and the monthly forecast implies an upside of 1.57%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.

4063.T stock risks, catalysts and trading strategy

Key near-term catalysts include Shin-Etsu’s earnings announcement scheduled for 2026-04-24 and demand trends in semiconductor silicon and silicones. Positive catalysts would be stronger end-market orders and margin recovery in electronics materials.

Risks include cyclical weakness in industrial demand, FX swings, and a valuation premium versus some peers. For most-active traders, a short-term strategy is to monitor confirmed support at JPY 4,600.00 and use pullbacks toward the 200-day average for tactical long entries with stops below JPY 4,400.00.

Final Thoughts

Shin-Etsu Chemical (4063.T) is the most active name in the pre-market session on 29 Jan 2026 after a sharp 11.16% drop to JPY 4,865.00, driven by heavy volume of 29,925,500.00 shares. Fundamentals remain solid: EPS JPY 257.92, P/E 18.86, low net debt and a 2.18% dividend yield. Technicals show immediate support near JPY 4,600.00 and a longer-term base near JPY 4,400.00. Meyka AI rates the stock 75.34/100 (B+, BUY) and highlights steady cash flow and sector positioning as strengths. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly price of JPY 5,740.80, implying an upside of 18.01% from the current level; forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Short-term traders should watch volume on any retest of support, while longer-term investors should weigh the valuation premium versus the Basic Materials sector and upcoming earnings on 2026-04-24 before adjusting exposure.

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Disclaimer:

Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.