SU.TO Suncor Energy (TSX) C$71.80 28 Jan 2026: Q4 earnings to drive next move
SU.TO stock closed at C$71.80 on the TSX on 28 Jan 2026 as investors position ahead of Suncor Energy Inc.’s Q4 results and the Feb 4 conference call. The company trades with a PE of 16.74 and EPS of 4.29, and daily volume was 4,587,006 shares. With the Energy sector up 7.68% YTD, Suncor’s Q4 numbers will test refinery margins, oil sands output and the dividend outlook for Canadian investors.
SU.TO stock: Earnings setup and analyst expectations
Analysts expect Suncor to report Q4 results after the close on 3 Feb 2026 with a call on 4 Feb 2026; consensus forecasts point to roughly US$0.72 per share and revenue near C$8.79 billion, according to MarketBeat. A stronger-than-expected refinery margin or higher oil realization could drive further upside from C$71.80, while lower production or safety-related disruptions would pressure the print source.
SU.TO stock: Recent price action, volume and fundamentals
The stock rose 1.73% on the session and sits at a 52-week range of C$43.59 to C$72.10, with a 50-day average of C$63.19 and 200-day average of C$56.06. Key fundamentals show market cap C$86.27 billion, dividend per share C$2.31 (yield 3.21%), trailing free cash flow yield 9.29%, and debt-to-equity 0.32, which support income-focused portfolios in Canada.
SU.TO stock: Meyka AI grade and technical snapshot
Meyka AI rates SU.TO with a score out of 100: 79.89 (B+) — BUY. This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Technical indicators show RSI 70.59 (near overbought) and MACD histogram 0.48, suggesting momentum but limited near-term trend conviction. These grades are not guaranteed and we are not financial advisors.
SU.TO stock: Price targets, valuations and analyst views
Street coverage is mixed; consensus targets cluster near C$68.62 while Desjardins raised a target to C$79.00, implying about 13.12% upside versus today (Desjardins via MarketBeat). Suncor trades at P/B 1.93 and EV/EBITDA 6.51, cheaper than the Energy sector average P/E 21.55, making valuation the core bullish argument for long-term income and value investors source.
SU.TO stock: Risks and opportunities into the report
Operational risks include oil sands site incidents and regulatory scrutiny after the Fort Hills fatality, which can affect short-term sentiment; unusual put buying also points to higher near-term volatility. Opportunities include stronger refining margins, higher realized oil prices, and continued free cash flow growth; Suncor’s free cash flow per share is 6.64 and payout ratio is 0.53, leaving room to sustain dividends if cash flow holds.
SU.TO stock: What to watch on Q4 release and the conference call
Investors should track production volumes for Oil Sands, refinery throughput, realized selling prices, and guidance changes for 2026 capex and dividends. Watch management comments on sustainability spending, renewables wind farms, and trading gains. A confirmed or increased 2026 dividend and positive guidance on free cash flow would likely be the primary catalyst to extend the share advance from C$71.80.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways for SU.TO stock after the TSX close at C$71.80 on 28 Jan 2026: Suncor enters the Q4 report with solid cash flow metrics, a PE of 16.74, and a dividend yield near 3.21% that appeals to income investors. The near-term trade is event-driven: stronger refinery margins or better oil realizations could push the stock above key resistance at C$72.10; operational setbacks or soft guidance would amplify downside. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 1-year price near C$62.94 (implied downside -12.33% vs current) and a 5-year projection of C$85.06 (implied upside +18.48%). Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees. Use the Q4 results and management guidance to reassess position size, stop levels and dividend expectations before making portfolio moves. Meyka AI provides this AI-powered market analysis to help frame the upcoming earnings risk and opportunity.
FAQs
When will SU.TO stock report Q4 results and where to listen?
Suncor will release Q4 results after market close on 3 Feb 2026 with a conference call on 4 Feb 2026 at 9:30 AM ET. Check Suncor’s investor site and MarketBeat alerts for the webcast link and transcript.
What key metrics move SU.TO stock after the earnings report?
Focus on oil sands production, refinery margins, realized selling prices, free cash flow per share (6.64), and any dividend or capex guidance changes. Those items drive price and yield reassessments.
How does Meyka AI view SU.TO stock right now?
Meyka AI rates SU.TO 79.89 (B+), BUY based on multi-factor analysis including sector and analyst views. This is informational and not a guarantee; investors should perform their own research.
What is a realistic short-term price level to watch for SU.TO stock?
Watch near-term resistance at the session high C$72.10 and support around the 50-day average C$63.19; earnings-driven moves may breach these technical levels.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
