TSM Stock Today: January 15 Q4 Profit +35% Beats on AI Demand
TSM stock today is in focus after Taiwan Semiconductor posted a strong fourth quarter. TSM reported net profit up 35% year on year, revenue of US$33.7 billion, and gross margin at 62.3%, powered by AI chip demand at 3nm and 5nm. For Hong Kong investors, this matters because regional tech earnings often track TSMC’s cycle. The ADR recently traded near US$327.11 with a price to earnings ratio around 34, keeping expectations high into 2026 as new capacity and US projects come online.
Q4 results: the beat and why it matters
TSMC’s Q4 net profit rose 35% year on year as revenue reached US$33.7 billion, topping estimates, while gross margin expanded to 62.3%. TSM stock today reflects stronger mix from advanced 3nm and 5nm nodes, which carry higher average selling prices. Orders from AI accelerators and high performance computing held firm. The print confirmed improving operating leverage as utilization climbed source.
Advanced nodes led the quarter as AI servers and flagship smartphone chipsets absorbed capacity. 3nm output continued to scale, while 5nm stayed tight on accelerator demand. Better yield curves and richer content per wafer supported gross margin expansion. Foundry capacity for mature nodes remained balanced, but pricing held. For TSM stock today, the takeaway is that premium nodes support pricing power and help buffer macro swings.
Share price, valuation, and technical view
TSMC’s ADR traded around US$327.11, down about 1.24% on the day, with a range of US$324.82 to US$329.86 and a 52 week band of US$134.25 to US$336.42. TSM stock today sits near 34 times EPS of US$9.61, with a dividend yield near 0.75% and price to book around 10.7. Street sentiment is constructive, with 17 Buy and 1 Hold ratings and a consensus Buy.
Momentum is positive. RSI is 65, MACD is above signal, and ADX near 21 points to a young trend. Price sits near the Bollinger upper band at 331 and well above the 50 day average near 297. TSM stock today shows support around 307 to 302, the Keltner and Bollinger mid lines, with resistance near 331 to 336. ATR near 8.7 implies 2 to 3% daily swings.
Outlook and capex: AI demand stays in charge
Management signaled a stronger outlook as hyperscalers keep raising AI budgets. TSMC plans to add advanced node capacity and flagged additional US factories, supporting strategic customers and long term incentives. Capital intensity stays high, but scale should sustain margins while yields improve on new processes. For TSM stock today, this underpins multi year growth visibility source.
For Hong Kong portfolios, the read across is constructive for Asia’s semiconductor supply chain. Strong AI chip demand supports backend testing, substrates, equipment, and materials. Regional tech indices can gain from better earnings visibility. TSM stock today also highlights how US fab expansion may shift some capex geographically, so investors should watch where orders land and how that affects contractors and logistics in Asia.
What to watch next for HK portfolios
Investors will focus on 2026 capex guidance, 3nm ramp, and early 2nm milestones. Track utilization, ASP trends, and whether gross margin holds above 60%. TSM stock today also faces external variables, including US incentives, power supply, and supply chain constraints. Geopolitics and export rules remain key risks, along with a possible pause if AI server customers digest inventory.
Stagger entries near support levels and use position sizing. For traders, respect the ATR band when setting stops. For long term holders, a dollar cost approach can manage volatility while you watch margin trends and node ramps. TSM stock today offers quality AI exposure, but patience on entries can improve risk adjusted returns for Hong Kong investors.
Final Thoughts
TSM stock today tells a clear story. AI demand is pushing the mix toward 3nm and 5nm, lifting margins and profits. Q4 delivered a 35% jump in net profit, US$33.7 billion in revenue, and a 62.3% gross margin, beating expectations. The ADR’s near 34 times earnings multiple implies confidence in steady orders, efficient ramps, and disciplined capex. For Hong Kong investors, that supports a constructive stance on the region’s chip complex. Watch support near 302 to 307 and treat orderly pullbacks as opportunities if fundamentals hold. The near term path depends on AI orders, yield progress at advanced nodes, and updates on US fab timelines and incentives. Keep tracking margin guidance and capacity signals. A measured, long term approach can work well in this industry leader.
FAQs
What moved TSM stock today?
A strong Q4 update. Net profit rose 35% year on year, revenue hit US$33.7 billion, and gross margin reached 62.3% on AI chip demand. Shares eased slightly as valuations are full and near prior highs. Investors balanced the beat with expectations for sustained AI driven orders in 2026.
Did TSMC beat earnings expectations?
Yes. TSMC outperformed on profit and revenue, with Q4 net profit up 35% year on year and gross margin at 62.3%. The mix shifted toward advanced nodes, driven by AI accelerators and high performance computing demand. The beat reinforced confidence in multi quarter AI capex tailwinds.
Is TSMC’s valuation attractive after the rally?
TSM trades near 34 times EPS, with price to book around 10.7 and a dividend yield near 0.75%. It earns a premium for leadership at 3nm and 5nm. Upside depends on margins, yields, and sustained AI orders. Pullbacks toward support can improve risk reward for long term buyers.
What should Hong Kong investors watch next?
Focus on 2026 capex guidance, 3nm ramp progress, early 2nm milestones, and whether gross margin holds above 60%. Track updates on US factory timelines and incentives, plus any supply chain constraints or policy changes. These signals will shape earnings visibility and near term trading levels.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
