VanEck Polygon (VPOL.SW) -9.49% on 06 Jan 2026: watch oversold bounce
VPOL.SW stock closed the SIX session on 06 Jan 2026 at CHF 0.3775, down 9.49% on the day. The sharp fall left the exchange traded note deeply oversold with an RSI of 18.62, but volume spiked to 500 shares, 25.00 times the average. Traders should weigh the price gap against thin liquidity and wide distance from the 50-day and 200-day averages as an oversold bounce trade setup.
VPOL.SW stock: Price action and intraday context
VanEck Polygon ETN A (VPOL.SW) opened and closed at CHF 0.3775 on 06 Jan 2026 after a -9.49% drop from the previous close of CHF 0.41710. Volume reached 500 versus an average volume of 20, giving a relative volume of 25.00. The instrument sits at the year low of CHF 0.3775 while the year high is CHF 2.54. This gap down is the immediate catalyst for oversold bounce interest among short-term traders.
VPOL.SW stock: Technical snapshot that supports an oversold bounce
Technical indicators show a classic oversold profile that can produce a bounce. RSI is 18.62, well below typical reversal thresholds. MACD is negative with a histogram at -0.01 while ADX reads 70.51, signalling a strong trending move. Price trades beneath the 50-day average (CHF 0.59) and 200-day average (CHF 0.70), increasing the chance of a mean-reversion rally if buying interest returns.
VPOL.SW stock: Structure, liquidity and fund specifics
VPOL.SW is a fully collateralized ETN on MATIC listed on the SIX in Switzerland and quoted in CHF. Market cap is about CHF 569,624.00 with 1,508,938 shares outstanding. As an ETN rather than an equity, there are no EPS or P/E ratios. Liquidity is thin: average volume is 20 and daily prints can be sporadic. That amplifies moves and widens execution risk for bounce trades.
VPOL.SW stock: Meyka AI grade and quantitative forecast
Meyka AI rates VPOL.SW with a score out of 100: 42 (C, HOLD). This grade factors in S&P 500 benchmark comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics, and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly CHF 0.22, quarterly CHF 0.13, and yearly CHF 1.29. Compared with the current price CHF 0.3775, the yearly projection implies an upside of 241.50%, while the quarter and month forecasts imply near-term downside. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
VPOL.SW stock: Risks and catalysts to watch
Primary risks are extreme liquidity constraints, ETF/ETN redemptions, and crypto price swings in MATIC. External catalysts that could trigger a bounce include a short-term rebound in MATIC, a VanEck liquidity notice, or broader crypto market strength. Watch for daily volume above 1,000 and narrowing spread as confirmation that a real bounce, not just a one-day squeeze, is underway.
VPOL.SW stock: Practical oversold-bounce trading plan
For traders targeting an oversold bounce, use small position sizes and limit orders given thin trading. Consider scaling in at CHF 0.37–0.40, set a tight stop below CHF 0.35, and target initial resistance at the 50-day average near CHF 0.59. Confirm buy signals with a rising RSI and volume above 500 on a daily close. Link your research to the SIX listing and VanEck product facts before trading: VPOL.SW on Meyka, VanEck product page.
Final Thoughts
VPOL.SW stock traded to CHF 0.3775 on 06 Jan 2026 and shows textbook oversold conditions that can produce a short-term bounce. Technicals favour a mean-reversion attempt: RSI 18.62, strong ADX 70.51, and a rel. volume spike of 25.00. That setup suits disciplined, small-size traders who accept wide spreads and execution risk. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a yearly target of CHF 1.29, implying 241.50% upside versus the current price CHF 0.3775, but short-term model outputs point lower into the next quarter. Use confirmation: rising daily volume, a firm daily close above CHF 0.42, and improving momentum before adding exposure. Remember, the ETN structure and thin liquidity make VPOL.SW a high-risk, high-volatility instrument; our Meyka grade of 42 (C, HOLD) reflects that balance. Forecasts and grades are model-based projections and not guarantees. Review product details on VanEck and SIX and monitor MATIC price action before committing capital.
FAQs
VPOL.SW stock fell due to thin liquidity and a sharp move in underlying MATIC prices. The day showed a large relative volume of **25.00** and an RSI at **18.62**, indicating technical selling pressure rather than a company earnings event.
An oversold bounce is possible given RSI **18.62** and a volume spike. Traders should seek confirmation with rising daily volume and a close above **CHF 0.42**. Use small position sizes because liquidity is thin.
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects monthly **CHF 0.22**, quarterly **CHF 0.13**, and yearly **CHF 1.29**. Compared with the current price **CHF 0.3775**, the yearly projection implies **241.50%** upside. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
As a fully collateralized ETN on MATIC, VPOL.SW has no EPS or dividend profile and relies on underlying crypto holdings. This structure can limit liquidity and amplify moves, increasing execution risk for bounce trades.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
