Vonovia SE (VNA.F, XETRA) at €24.74 after heavy trade 14 Jan 2026: dividend vs debt
Vonovia SE (VNA.F) ended the XETRA session at €24.74 on 14 Jan 2026 as the most active German real estate name, trading 4,068,225 shares and down 1.86% on the day. VNA.F stock led activity in the Real Estate sector on heavy volume versus a 50-day average of €25.06 and a 200-day average of €27.28. Investors are weighing a 4.82% dividend yield against near-term refinancing and balance-sheet metrics after markets closed for the day in Germany.
Market action and why VNA.F stock was most active
Vonovia (VNA.F) was the market’s most active real estate stock on XETRA, with 4,068,225 shares traded and a relative volume of 1.19. The stock opened at €25.27, printed a high of €25.27 and a low of €24.50, closing at €24.74. Volume spiked as the sector traded mixed in Europe, with headline indices steady while investors re-priced rate and dividend risk ahead of corporate updates source.
Fundamentals: valuation, cash flow and debt for VNA.F stock
Vonovia shows a market cap of €20.80 billion with reported cash of €3.01 billion and total debt of €43.24 billion, leaving net debt near €40.23 billion. On a per-share basis the company reports EPS €3.24, PE ~7.64, and book value per share €34.64. Dividend per share is €1.22, implying a yield near 4.82%. These metrics put valuation below some sector averages on price-to-book, while leverage remains a primary structural risk.
Technicals and short-term momentum for VNA.F stock
Technical indicators show mixed momentum: RSI at 58.86 signals mild strength, ADX 30.18 indicates a strong trend, and MACD histogram is slightly positive. Bollinger Bands are €23.41-€25.32 with the middle at €24.36, suggesting limited immediate upside. Price sits below the 200-day average €27.28 but near the 50-day €25.06, giving traders tight ranges to watch for breakouts or a rollover.
Meyka AI grade, model forecast and price targets for VNA.F stock
Meyka AI rates VNA.F with a score out of 100: 66.52 / B, Suggestion: HOLD. This grade factors in S&P 500 comparison, sector performance, financial growth, key metrics and analyst consensus. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12‑month price of €27.59. Versus the close €24.74, that implies an upside of 11.51%. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Risks and catalysts affecting VNA.F stock outlook
Primary risks include high net debt and sensitivity to interest-rate moves given Vonovia’s financing profile. Interest coverage is low at ~1.13 (interestCoverage TTM), and debt-to-equity sits above 1.7 in some datasets. Catalysts include operational cash-flow improvements, disposal or value-add sales, and any clearer guidance on dividend policy or refinancing plans. Watch the next earnings date, estimated 19 Mar 2026, for fresh guidance.
Trading setups, sector context and practical takeaways for VNA.F stock
In a most-active setup traders should note intraday range €24.50–€25.27 and stop levels below €23.68 (52-week low €23.68). The real estate sector shows moderate YTD performance versus broader markets; Vonovia’s dividend yield keeps the name attractive for income, but valuation and leverage suggest a cautious position sizing. Use earnings and any asset-sale news to re-check targets and risk.
Final Thoughts
Key takeaways on VNA.F stock after the XETRA close on 14 Jan 2026: Vonovia closed at €24.74, down 1.86%, on heavy volume 4,068,225 while the market digested sector-level moves. Fundamentals show a low price-to-book relative to book value per share €34.64 and a solid dividend of €1.22 (yield 4.82%), but net debt near €40.23 billion and interest coverage under 1.2 remain central risks. Meyka AI’s forecast model projects €27.59 in 12 months, implying +11.51% from today’s price; conservative and bull scenarios of €22.00 (‑11.02%) and €31.00 (+25.39%) reflect balance‑sheet and market sensitivity. Investors should weigh income attraction against refinancing risk and upcoming earnings on 19 Mar 2026. For the active trader, monitor intraday bands and sector headlines; for longer‑term investors, track deleveraging progress and recurring sales execution. Meyka AI provides this analysis as an AI-powered market analysis platform; forecasts and grades are model outputs and not investment advice.
FAQs
What drove today’s VNA.F stock volume spike
VNA.F stock saw heavy trade on 14 Jan 2026 as investors reassessed dividend yield vs. high net debt. The stock printed 4,068,225 shares and a relative volume ~1.19, reflecting active repositioning ahead of upcoming earnings.
What is Meyka AI’s short-term forecast for VNA.F stock
Meyka AI’s forecast model projects a 12‑month price of €27.59 for VNA.F stock, an implied upside of 11.51% from €24.74. Forecasts are model-based projections and not guarantees.
Is VNA.F stock a good dividend play
Vonovia yields about 4.82% with €1.22 per share in dividends. The yield is attractive but pay attention to leverage and interest coverage; high debt raises payout sustainability risk.
When is the next earnings report for VNA.F stock
The next estimated earnings announcement for VNA.F stock is 19 Mar 2026. Investors should watch that report for updated guidance on cash flow, disposals and dividend policy.
Disclaimer:
Stock markets involve risks. This content is for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market analysis and data insights, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.
